Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.434676e-05 1.058235e-04 0.000130 0.000157 0.000189 0.000223 0.000263
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.861883e-05 8.468116e-05 0.000116 0.000155 0.000202 0.000256 0.000322
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.237948e-05 6.910638e-05 0.000103 0.000149 0.000206 0.000273 0.000357
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.202623e-05 5.910067e-05 0.000096 0.000148 0.000215 0.000297 0.000402
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.471194e-05 5.132023e-05 0.000090 0.000146 0.000222 0.000316 0.000439
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.811327e-05 4.326888e-05 0.000083 0.000142 0.000225 0.000330 0.000471
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.317107e-05 3.651103e-05 0.000076 0.000137 0.000226 0.000341 0.000497
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.492552e-06 3.103583e-05 0.000070 0.000134 0.000228 0.000354 0.000526
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.209261e-06 2.508442e-05 0.000062 0.000127 0.000224 0.000357 0.000543
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.116131e-06 2.372026e-05 0.000062 0.000131 0.000238 0.000384 0.000590
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.298888e-06 2.273343e-05 0.000063 0.000137 0.000252 0.000412 0.000639
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.537412e-06 2.161981e-05 0.000063 0.000141 0.000265 0.000439 0.000688
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.602555e-06 1.630296e-05 0.000056 0.000136 0.000270 0.000462 0.000741
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.136508e-07 1.244547e-05 0.000051 0.000134 0.000277 0.000489 0.000802
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.356916e-07 8.961060e-06 0.000045 0.000129 0.000279 0.000507 0.000849
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.338155e-08 6.814080e-06 0.000041 0.000127 0.000288 0.000535 0.000912
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.148800e-06 0.000038 0.000126 0.000296 0.000562 0.000972
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.525880e-06 0.000034 0.000122 0.000299 0.000581 0.001021
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.315739e-06 0.000030 0.000118 0.000300 0.000598 0.001068
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.472283e-06 0.000027 0.000115 0.000304 0.000617 0.001118
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.474993e-07 0.000023 0.000108 0.000300 0.000625 0.001150
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.919648e-07 0.000022 0.000113 0.000317 0.000666 0.001233
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.826744e-07 0.000023 0.000117 0.000335 0.000709 0.001320